- What the sample size of hands you need? | CardsChat.
- How many hands is a good sample size for evaluating win rate etc? poker.
- What Is a Good Win Rate in Poker? | It Depends.
- GTO Poker - A Beginner's Guide to Game Theory Optimal.
- The poker stats which really matter at 2NL (case study).
- What I learnt playing 500k hands of online cash game poker.
- What's your winrate, and over what sample and stake? poker.
- Why is Sample Size Important in Poker? — BetStrat.
- Win Rates, Sample Sizes and Moving Up. - Red Chip Poker Forum.
- Tournament Variance Calculator | Primedope.
- Poker win rate - stat analysis | Run It Once.
- Optimal Win Rate Standard Deviation - Poker Stack Exchange.
- Understanding Win Rates in Poker - MicroGrinder Poker School.
- Abdou A. Traya's (@abdoualittlebit) profile on Instagram • 26.
What the sample size of hands you need? | CardsChat.
Jul 08, 2021 · For example, someone with a 10bb win rate over 10k hands might not actually be a 10bb winner and given that sample size and his known standard deviation you can apply a confidence interval to determine within whatever degree of certainty you'd want what his true winrate "range" would be. You have a sample size of 1k hands. From that sample you observe an average win rate of 10bb/100. Q: how would you proceed in answering (with a statistical argument) to the following question.
How many hands is a good sample size for evaluating win rate etc? poker.
Generally, the larger the sample size of hands, the closer our winrate will be to its expected value. Since variance is very large in poker, big deviations from expected winrate are common, especially if the sample size of hands is small (i.e less than 50,000 hands). December 12 2018 Poker Glossary Explanation of Variance Poker is a long term game. I've got 15k hands atm, i erased my PT3 cuz i had problems with it before had like 100k hands but through other limits too. sitting at 9.3/100 , hopefully it'll hold, at high it was 12 at low it was 7 so i think i'm sumwhere in the middle alrdy= / or maybe i'm on a 10k heater i started 4 tabling just coming bak to poker and now i'm 15 tabling ish.
What Is a Good Win Rate in Poker? | It Depends.
20 samples. The first thing the Variance Calculator does, is to run 20 samples over the amount of hands, winrate and standard deviation specified. It’ll also calculate the expected winnings over the amount of hands. This number will appear as a rather boring straight and black line in the graph. Thirdly the calculator displays the 70% and 95%. There have been a ton of posts about this on 2p2 forums over the years and its true that you will need a huge sample size to get close to seeing your true win rate.. This also points out a small fact that its all about correct decisions, not about where your graph goes in the next 2k, 5k, 10k hands.. over time correct decisions = profit.
GTO Poker - A Beginner's Guide to Game Theory Optimal.
Put yourself in the players' shoes for a second. I'm 19 years old and in university, grinding out poker part time so I don't have to work at Mcdonalds, and all I want is for online games to be fair, and poker sites to be held accountable when they fail to run fair games. Yet apparently even this is too much to ask.
The poker stats which really matter at 2NL (case study).
What sample size do we need to get close to out true winrates by position? I guess it might be sth like 100k hands for each position but I am not sure What is the standard deviation from ou... About Run It Once Poker 86 Threads Vision GTO Trainer 31 Threads... The website named primedope, has a variance calculator for only the overall winrate. Mar 09, 2020 · So, when a live player plays 1,000 hands then hits the forums to brag about his “ sick winrate ”, we should be able to see that such a sample size is non-representative. Ideally, we’d have at least 300,000 hands (preferably more) before being able to know our actual winrate. 1,289 Followers, 398 Following, 26 Posts - See Instagram photos and videos from Abdou A. Traya (@abdoualittlebit).
What I learnt playing 500k hands of online cash game poker.
Rough ballpark figures for good and great winrates. 1 – 4 bb/100 = Great. A solid winrate if you can sustain it. 5 – 9 bb/100 = Amazing. This is a very high winrate at any level. Consider moving up. 10+ bb/100 = Immense. Very, very few have a winrate like this. You probably have a small sample size though.
What's your winrate, and over what sample and stake? poker.
How many hands is a good sample size for evaluating win rate etc? poker. Cash Game Sample Size Question - Poker Advice - PocketFives. Finally, remember that a good winrate is one that is positive: a 1bb/100 is pretty good in a large sample size; it means you're already doing something good. There's also a good article here.
Why is Sample Size Important in Poker? — BetStrat.
If you want a 95% confidence interval with a +/- 0.5 bb, you're going to need a ton of hands. If your winrate is 5 bb and you play 100k hands with a 70 standard deviation, the 95% confidence interval is between [0.57 BB/100, 9.43 BB/100]. Which means if you played infinitely many 100k samples, 95% of the time your winrate would be between 0 and 9.
Win Rates, Sample Sizes and Moving Up. - Red Chip Poker Forum.
Best Poker Win Rates Possible For Elite Players Who Play 1-8 Tables. NL2 win rate: 15bb/100 NL5 win rate: 10bb/100 NL10 win rate: 8bb/100 NL25 win rate: 6bb/100 NL50 win rate: 5bb/100. 100k is probably your first good sample size So, if we want to track live, and we want a sufficient sample size, we need a lot of hours. Probably 800-1000 hours before we get a "this might be sort of correct" measurement. (25k=833hr, 100k=3333hr). We can probably know if we're a winning player by 500 hours or so, but have no idea by how much.
Tournament Variance Calculator | Primedope.
Apr 30, 2010 · The tough part about win rates in live poker is the fact that there is such a small sample size. On average, players see 20 - 25 hands/hr at a live casino. This is a nothing compared to the 60+ hands per hr/table you see online. Jan 08, 2022 · Conclusion. Sample size is one of the most important statistics poker players have to pay attention to. Make sure you have a suitable sample size before making any conclusions on your win rate, your leaks, or your opponents’ leaks. Failing to do so might lead to you making wrong adjustments that can cost you dearly.
Poker win rate - stat analysis | Run It Once.
For example, if you want to make 10bbs per 100 hands at 50NL with average rake of -8bb/100. Hero Winrate = (Fish Loserate – Fish Rake) / Number of regs – Hero Rake. 10 = (Fish Loserate – 8)/5 – 8. Fish Loserate = 98бб/100. Thus, without any changes in your skill level, you can have a winrate of 10bb/100 today, if you start selecting. My current average winrate over all of these stakes is 13bb/100 over 8500ish hands this year. Obv higher at 2nl-10nl (6k hands at these levels)fast 6max. Probably going to structure my goals like this. Level, winrate, sample size 2nl - 8-10bb, 25k hands 5nl - 8-10bb, 25k hands 10nl - 6-10bb, 50k hands 25nl - 3-6bb, 100k hands 50nl - 1-4bb, 100k. Feb 06, 2022 · sample size and winrate. How can we know our true winrate if we have sessions 5 buy in down, long break even stretches etc. I just don't see how it's possible unless we play something like 500k hands lol. Let's take 50k hands for example, we can run like shit or hot for 20k hands and lets' throw break even stretches in there.
Optimal Win Rate Standard Deviation - Poker Stack Exchange.
Even the strongest hand in poker loses 1 in 10 times. You will flop a set 11.7% of the time (1 in 8.5). On average you will be flipping (50-50) when all in pre-flop. Even though 500k hands is a large sample size, when you are breaking it down by 169 different hand combos, there will still be variance on a hand per hand basis.
Understanding Win Rates in Poker - MicroGrinder Poker School.
Villain’s Hand Range: While statistics on 3bet stats can be gained with a big enough sample size (i.e. 8% 3bet stat from button), the numbers don’t tell us which 8% of hands villain could be 3betting with. Both of the charts below represent 8% of possible hands, using both a polarized and depolarized approach.
Abdou A. Traya's (@abdoualittlebit) profile on Instagram • 26.
Ive played around 150 hours since end of July, so if I up the amount of games I play to perhaps three times a week, I should reach a sample size of 500 by the summer next year. 1 level 1 I_Like_to_Gamble · 5y 400+ hours -2 1.1k Posted by u/tookie22 6 months ago 2 Serious A Reminder on Tipping your Dealer.
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